Canada Express Entry Next Draw Prediction

express entry draw

New Express Entry draw threshold falls to 440Minimum threshold goes down by five points in latest Express Entry draw


3,900 candidates were sent invitation to apply for permanent residence in the New Express Entry draw held on October 15th. This latest draw saw the minimum score this year at 440 which has ranged between 440 and 452 throughout the year.


The minimum threshold reached in the previous draw was 445 on October 3rd, which dropped by 5 points. This is the fifth time in this year that the score has dipped to 440.


This marks the fifth time in 2018 that the minimum score for an all-program Express Entry draw was 440.


According to the tie-break rule followed by IRCC, the date and time used was September 18, 2018, at 11:06:29 UTC, which means that all candidates with a score above 440, as well as those candidates with scores of 440 who submitted their profile before this specified date and time, will receive an ITA in this invitation round.


The gap between the two draws is only 12 days, and it is believed that the fact that this draw was held earlier than the 15-day interval, helped the score slide down. Usually such a drastic reduction in between draws, and large no of applicants being invited helps the score go low. The lesser the time between draws, the lesser the time for the pool to replenish, and this is what results in lower scores.


In the Express Entry system, which came into force in 2015, applicants are ranked according to their comprehensive ranking scores, which bases points based on factors including work experience, education, age and proficiency in English or French, Canada’s two official languages.


Candidates with the highest scores are issued an ITA through regular invitation rounds.


In 2018, IRCC has till now issued more than 70,000 invitations. A total no of 22 draws have been held so far in this year. In 2017, IRCC had till now sent 72,221 ITAs. The total no of applicants invited through Express Entry last year was 86,023.


The Govt of Canada has a target of 74,900 immigrants brought in through its 3 categories under Express Entry that is Federal Skilled Workers, Federal Skilled Trades and the Canadian Experience Class. For 2019, this target is 81,400.



Canada Express Entry Next Draw Prediction

canada express entry ita

June sees highest no of ITA’s being sent out

June 2018 has seen maximum no of ITA’s being sent out under the Federal Express Entry system.  This month has seen two Express Entry draws invite a total of 7,500 candidates to apply for Canadian permanent residence. This no is the highest since 2015 when Express Entry had started.


Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) issued 3,750 Invitations to Apply, or ITAs, in each of the two all-program draws held in June, the largest invitation rounds in 2018


Under the Federal Express Entry system, candidates are assessed in three main categories, the Federal Skilled Worker, Federal Skilled Trades and the Canadian Experience Class. Candidates receiving highest points are sent Invitation to Apply.


2018 has seen a gradual increase in the no of invitations being sent out in each subsequent draw. However contrary to expectations set out by the Immigration target of 10,00,000 immigrants by 2020, CRS scores have ranged between 440 and 451 in this year.


Larger draw sizes, and more frequent invitation rounds, can also have the effect of lowering the CRS score. In the first round of June scores went the highest. But the second draw of the month, held on June 25, saw the cut-off CRS score fall to 442.


In the case of the June 13 draw, IRCC had let three weeks elapse between all-program draws, which allowed more candidates to enter the pool and saw the CRS cut-off jump from 440 to 451.The June 25 draw occurred only 12 days later, which meant the pool had less time to replenish and contributed to the CRS scored dropping by nine points, to 442.